In the northeastern state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) surged to first place, capturing around 37% to 38% of the vote. Despite the victory, the AfD remains isolated, as the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD)—led by incumbent Premier Manuela Schwesig—and other democratic parties maintain a “firewall” against coalition talks with the far right. Schwesig is expected to retain a viable path to forming a state government.
Simultaneously in Berlin, the socialist Left Party achieved a historic first-place finish with approximately 25% of the vote. Lead candidate Elif Eralp declared a mandate to govern, opening the door for a potential coalition alongside the Greens and the SPD.
The CDU recorded historic lows in both contests, including a drop near the 5% electoral threshold in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. Merz acknowledged the “disaster” of the regional results but vowed to remain in office and press ahead with his national economic and policy reforms.